Risk: Low
Fixed stake
Every qualified selection receives exactly the same stake, so profit and loss measure the selection model rather than the staking plan.
How it works
The stake is a fixed €10 on every eligible selection — the baseline control strategy.
It ignores bankroll, odds, probability, edge and previous results entirely.
Because the size is constant, profit and loss measure the picks alone — not the staking plan.
Formula
stake = base_stake (€10 fixed)
- base_stake — Fixed money staked per bet, €10
Exactly how BetBuddy implements it
Fixed stake betting puts exactly the same amount of money on every qualifying selection, so results measure the selections rather than the staking plan.
Inputs used
- Base stake (€10.00)
- Nothing else — bankroll, odds, probability and previous results are ignored
stake = base_stake = €10.00
Limits and caps, applied in this order
- Bankroll share cap — no single stake may exceed 5% of that strategy's own live bankroll.
- Absolute cap — no single stake may exceed 10× the base stake (€100.00).
- Bankroll cap — a stake can never exceed the money the strategy actually has left.
Rounding: None required: the stake is already a whole unit of account.
Bankroll behaviour: The bankroll rises and falls with results, but the stake does not follow it. Exposure per bet therefore falls as a share of a growing bankroll and rises as a share of a shrinking one.
Sequence behaviour: Stateless. Bet 200 is sized identically to bet 1.
Reset conditions: Nothing to reset — the stake is constant by definition.
- There is no minimum-stake rule, because the stake can never fall below the base stake.
- The shared caps can still reduce it if the bankroll itself falls below the cap thresholds.
Documented against staking logic v2, from a €10.00 base stake. These figures are read from the same module the robot calls when it sizes a live paper bet.
How it behaves in production
- This is the control strategy. It receives the identical selection, at the identical locked price, at the identical moment as the other three.
- Because the stake never varies, its profit and loss is the cleanest available read on whether the selection engine has an edge at all.
Risk profile: Lowest variance of the four. It cannot spiral, and it cannot compound either.
Worked example from a €10 base stake
- Bet 1: €10 staked, regardless of price or edge.
- Bet 2: €10 again — a win or a loss changes nothing.
- Bet 3: €10 again. The stake only moves if the base stake itself is changed.
If the bet wins: A €10 bet at 2.10 returns €21.00, a profit of €11.00. The next stake stays €10.
If the bet loses: A €10 bet at 2.10 loses €10.00. The next stake is still €10 — there is no recovery step.
Reset conditions: Nothing to reset: the stake is constant by definition.
Historical robot performance
Strategy bets settled
84
Won / lost
36 / 48
Win rate
42.9%
Average odds
3.07
Average stake
€10.00
Total staked
€840.00
Net P/L
€87.50
Betting ROI
10.4%
Bankroll return
8.8%
Max drawdown
€71.50
Sample size: 84 settled selections. This is far too small a sample to draw conclusions from. Figures are published for transparency, not as evidence that any strategy is profitable.
Simulated bankroll: €1087.50 from a €1000.00 start. Betting ROI is net P/L ÷ total staked; bankroll return is net P/L ÷ starting bankroll. Paper mode — no real money is staked.
Advantages
- Lowest variance of the four
- Cleanest read on whether the model has an edge
- Impossible to spiral
Disadvantages and risk
- Does not compound
- Ignores how big the edge actually is
Overall risk rating: Low.
When this strategy suits
- Measuring whether a selection method actually has an edge
- Small samples, where staking noise would otherwise dominate
- Bettors who want the lowest possible variance
Back to all betting strategies
Fixed stake — common questions
What is Fixed Stake betting?
The same amount is staked on every qualified selection — €10 in BetBuddy's ledger — regardless of price or edge. It is the cleanest way to see whether the selection method itself has an edge.
How can I compare betting strategies?
Compare them on the same selections, over the same period, using profit, ROI, win rate and maximum drawdown together — never profit alone. BetBuddy's ledger is built exactly this way.
Compare in results history →Fixed stake vs percentage bankroll →
Can a betting strategy guarantee profits?
No. A staking plan changes how risk is distributed, not whether the selections are good. Every strategy on this site can and does lose money over stretches, and betting always involves financial risk.