UEFA Europa League · 2026-10-22

Sturm Graz vs Marseille: result, odds movement and BetBuddy analysis

BetBuddy recorded this fixture before kick-off, backed Sturm Graz at 3.15 and settled it from the confirmed final score. Everything below is the stored record of that bet — nothing was added after the result was known.

Final score

1-0

BetBuddy selection

Sturm Graz

Bet result

Won

Combined P/L

€229.94

What the robot recorded before kick-off

The selection came from the dropping-odds market layer: a fixture whose price on Sturm Graz shortened on high traded volume, which is the signal BetBuddy treats as informed money. How dropping odds work.

Pre-match market record
FieldValue
Market1X2
SelectionSturm Graz (HOME)
Reference / opening odds3.90
Locked odds3.15
Taken odds (entry price)3.15
Detected market drop19.2%
Reference → entry move-19.2%
Traded volume381,555
Ranking score247.14
Locked at2026-10-22 14:45
Taken at2026-10-22 16:43

The two movement figures measure different windows and will not always agree. Detected market drop is the movement the source recorded over its own detection window — the signal that put the fixture on the radar in the first place. Reference → entry move compares BetBuddy’s stored reference price with the price actually recorded at entry, so it covers only the period between those two stored observations. Neither number is recalculated after settlement.

Odds movement before kick-off

Each row is a stored observation of the price on Sturm Graz. BetBuddy never edits these snapshots after settlement, which is what makes the entry price auditable.

56 recorded observations
Observed (UTC)Odds on Sturm Graz
2026-10-22 11:314.30
2026-10-22 11:374.30
2026-10-22 11:424.30
2026-10-22 11:474.30
2026-10-22 11:534.30
2026-10-22 11:594.30
2026-10-22 12:044.30
2026-10-22 12:104.30
2026-10-22 12:154.30
2026-10-22 12:214.30
2026-10-22 12:264.30
2026-10-22 12:324.30
2026-10-22 12:374.30
2026-10-22 12:434.30
2026-10-22 12:494.30
2026-10-22 12:554.30
2026-10-22 13:014.20
2026-10-22 13:074.20
2026-10-22 13:124.20
2026-10-22 13:184.30
2026-10-22 13:234.30
2026-10-22 13:294.30
2026-10-22 13:354.30
2026-10-22 13:414.30
2026-10-22 13:464.30
2026-10-22 13:524.20
2026-10-22 13:574.30
2026-10-22 14:034.20
2026-10-22 14:094.20
2026-10-22 14:144.30
2026-10-22 14:204.30
2026-10-22 14:254.30
2026-10-22 14:314.30
2026-10-22 14:374.30
2026-10-22 14:434.30
2026-10-22 14:494.30
2026-10-22 14:554.30
2026-10-22 15:014.30
2026-10-22 15:074.30
2026-10-22 15:134.20
2026-10-22 15:194.20
2026-10-22 15:244.30
2026-10-22 15:294.30
2026-10-22 15:344.30
2026-10-22 15:403.70
2026-10-22 15:453.60
2026-10-22 15:513.60
2026-10-22 15:573.60
2026-10-22 16:033.50
2026-10-22 16:093.50
2026-10-22 16:143.45
2026-10-22 16:193.30
2026-10-22 16:253.35
2026-10-22 16:313.25
2026-10-22 16:373.25
2026-10-22 16:433.15

Final result and settlement

Sturm Graz vs Marseille finished 1-0, so the bet on Sturm Graz was won. The score was confirmed from public-scoreboard. Settled 2026-10-22.

How each staking strategy handled this bet

The same selection is staked by four strategies running independent virtual bankrolls, so one match produces up to four paper bets. Figures are taken from the shared settled ledger used on the results history.

StrategyOddsStakeP/LBankroll after
Fixed stake3.15€10.00€21.50€991.90
Percentage bankroll3.15€9.62€20.68€982.37
Fractional Kelly3.15€28.00€60.20€1302.77
Capped recovery3.15€59.33€127.56€1314.10

Total staked across strategies on this match: €106.95; combined profit/loss €229.94.