UEFA Nations League · 2026-09-24

Netherlands vs Germany: result, odds movement and BetBuddy analysis

BetBuddy recorded this fixture before kick-off, backed Germany at 2.60 and settled it from the confirmed final score. Everything below is the stored record of that bet — nothing was added after the result was known.

Final score

1-1

BetBuddy selection

Germany

Bet result

Lost

Combined P/L

−€46.52

What the robot recorded before kick-off

The selection came from the dropping-odds market layer: a fixture whose price on Germany shortened on high traded volume, which is the signal BetBuddy treats as informed money. How dropping odds work.

Pre-match market record
FieldValue
Market1X2
SelectionGermany (AWAY)
Reference / opening odds2.86
Locked odds2.60
Taken odds (entry price)2.60
Detected market drop9.1%
Reference → entry move-9.1%
Traded volume461,590
Ranking score118.56
Locked at2026-09-24 16:45
Taken at2026-09-24 18:43

The two movement figures measure different windows and will not always agree. Detected market drop is the movement the source recorded over its own detection window — the signal that put the fixture on the radar in the first place. Reference → entry move compares BetBuddy’s stored reference price with the price actually recorded at entry, so it covers only the period between those two stored observations. Neither number is recalculated after settlement.

Odds movement before kick-off

Each row is a stored observation of the price on Germany. BetBuddy never edits these snapshots after settlement, which is what makes the entry price auditable.

116 recorded observations
Observed (UTC)Odds on Germany
2026-09-24 07:172.70
2026-09-24 07:222.70
2026-09-24 07:282.70
2026-09-24 08:092.70
2026-09-24 08:152.70
2026-09-24 08:212.70
2026-09-24 08:272.70
2026-09-24 08:382.70
2026-09-24 08:442.70
2026-09-24 08:502.70
2026-09-24 08:562.70
2026-09-24 09:012.70
2026-09-24 09:072.70
2026-09-24 09:122.70
2026-09-24 09:182.70
2026-09-24 09:242.70
2026-09-24 09:302.66
2026-09-24 09:362.68
2026-09-24 09:422.68
2026-09-24 09:482.68
2026-09-24 09:532.68
2026-09-24 09:582.68
2026-09-24 10:032.68
2026-09-24 10:092.68
2026-09-24 10:152.66
2026-09-24 10:212.66
2026-09-24 10:262.66
2026-09-24 10:322.66
2026-09-24 10:382.66
2026-09-24 10:442.62
2026-09-24 10:502.62
2026-09-24 10:562.60
2026-09-24 11:022.60
2026-09-24 11:082.60
2026-09-24 11:132.60
2026-09-24 11:192.60
2026-09-24 11:242.60
2026-09-24 11:302.60
2026-09-24 11:362.60
2026-09-24 11:422.62
2026-09-24 11:482.62
2026-09-24 11:542.60
2026-09-24 12:002.60
2026-09-24 12:062.62
2026-09-24 12:122.62
2026-09-24 12:182.62
2026-09-24 12:242.62
2026-09-24 12:302.62
2026-09-24 12:362.62
2026-09-24 12:412.62
2026-09-24 12:472.62
2026-09-24 12:522.62
2026-09-24 12:582.62
2026-09-24 13:042.62
2026-09-24 13:092.62
2026-09-24 13:142.62
2026-09-24 13:202.64
2026-09-24 13:252.62
2026-09-24 13:312.62
2026-09-24 13:372.64
2026-09-24 13:432.64
2026-09-24 13:492.64
2026-09-24 13:552.62
2026-09-24 14:002.58
2026-09-24 14:062.60
2026-09-24 14:122.60
2026-09-24 14:172.58
2026-09-24 14:232.58
2026-09-24 14:292.60
2026-09-24 14:342.60
2026-09-24 14:392.60
2026-09-24 14:452.60
2026-09-24 14:512.58
2026-09-24 14:562.58
2026-09-24 15:022.54
2026-09-24 15:072.54
2026-09-24 15:132.56
2026-09-24 15:192.56
2026-09-24 15:242.56
2026-09-24 15:292.54
2026-09-24 15:352.56
2026-09-24 15:402.58
2026-09-24 15:462.58
2026-09-24 15:512.58
2026-09-24 15:572.58
2026-09-24 16:022.58
2026-09-24 16:082.58
2026-09-24 16:132.56
2026-09-24 16:192.56
2026-09-24 16:242.56
2026-09-24 16:302.56
2026-09-24 16:352.56
2026-09-24 16:412.58
2026-09-24 16:472.54
2026-09-24 16:532.54
2026-09-24 16:592.54
2026-09-24 17:042.54
2026-09-24 17:062.54
2026-09-24 17:072.54
2026-09-24 17:132.50
2026-09-24 17:192.48
2026-09-24 17:242.48
2026-09-24 17:302.50
2026-09-24 17:352.52
2026-09-24 17:412.52
2026-09-24 17:462.54
2026-09-24 17:522.52
2026-09-24 17:582.52
2026-09-24 18:032.58
2026-09-24 18:092.58
2026-09-24 18:152.66
2026-09-24 18:212.62
2026-09-24 18:272.58
2026-09-24 18:322.60
2026-09-24 18:382.58
2026-09-24 18:432.60

Final result and settlement

Netherlands vs Germany finished 1-1, so the bet on Germany was lost. The score was confirmed from public-scoreboard. Settled 2026-09-24.

How each staking strategy handled this bet

The same selection is staked by four strategies running independent virtual bankrolls, so one match produces up to four paper bets. Figures are taken from the shared settled ledger used on the results history.

StrategyOddsStakeP/LBankroll after
Capped recovery2.60€6.25−€6.25€1273.77
Fixed stake2.60€10.00−€10.00€1115.10
Percentage bankroll2.60€11.27−€11.27€1115.80
Fractional Kelly2.60€19.00−€19.00€1312.80

Total staked across strategies on this match: €46.52; combined profit/loss −€46.52.