Norwegian Eliteserien · 2026-11-09

Kristiansund vs Valerenga: result, odds movement and BetBuddy analysis

BetBuddy recorded this fixture before kick-off, backed Valerenga at 2.18 and settled it from the confirmed final score. Everything below is the stored record of that bet — nothing was added after the result was known.

Final score

1-0

BetBuddy selection

Valerenga

Bet result

Lost

Combined P/L

−€127.49

What the robot recorded before kick-off

The selection came from the dropping-odds market layer: a fixture whose price on Valerenga shortened on high traded volume, which is the signal BetBuddy treats as informed money. How dropping odds work.

Pre-match market record
FieldValue
Market1X2
SelectionValerenga (AWAY)
Reference / opening odds2.46
Locked odds2.18
Taken odds (entry price)2.18
Detected market drop11.4%
Reference → entry move-11.4%
Traded volume38,020
Ranking score120.01
Locked at2026-11-09 16:48
Taken at2026-11-09 17:56

The two movement figures measure different windows and will not always agree. Detected market drop is the movement the source recorded over its own detection window — the signal that put the fixture on the radar in the first place. Reference → entry move compares BetBuddy’s stored reference price with the price actually recorded at entry, so it covers only the period between those two stored observations. Neither number is recalculated after settlement.

Odds movement before kick-off

Each row is a stored observation of the price on Valerenga. BetBuddy never edits these snapshots after settlement, which is what makes the entry price auditable.

13 recorded observations
Observed (UTC)Odds on Valerenga
2026-11-09 16:482.20
2026-11-09 16:542.20
2026-11-09 17:002.18
2026-11-09 17:052.20
2026-11-09 17:112.16
2026-11-09 17:172.18
2026-11-09 17:222.14
2026-11-09 17:282.16
2026-11-09 17:342.16
2026-11-09 17:402.18
2026-11-09 17:452.18
2026-11-09 17:502.18
2026-11-09 17:562.18

Final result and settlement

Kristiansund vs Valerenga finished 1-0, so the bet on Valerenga was lost. The score was confirmed from public-scoreboard. Settled 2026-11-09.

How each staking strategy handled this bet

The same selection is staked by four strategies running independent virtual bankrolls, so one match produces up to four paper bets. Figures are taken from the shared settled ledger used on the results history.

StrategyOddsStakeP/LBankroll after
Fixed stake2.18€10.00−€10.00€996.70
Fractional Kelly2.18€39.50−€39.50€1589.29
Capped recovery2.18€68.06−€68.06€1293.05
Percentage bankroll2.18€9.93−€9.93€983.41

Total staked across strategies on this match: €127.49; combined profit/loss −€127.49.